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Vancouver v Houston Dynamo MLS Betting Stats and Predictions [8-5-22]

VANCOUVER V HOUSTON 8-6-22 MLS HEADER

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MATCH DETAILS

The match takes place on the 5th of August 2022

We think Vancouver Whitecaps will win the match. You can see why on our full match predictions here

Key Betting Stats

Green = Above MLS average

Red = Below MLS average

Both Teams To Score
BTTS Yes 55%
Average Match Goals
2.87
Over 1.5 Match Goals
Over 1.5 Match Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Match Goals
Over 2.5 Match Goals 68%
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Vancouver FC v Houston Dynamo FC Match Preview

Vancouver Form

  • Vancouver has lost their last 2 matches at home losing 3-1 both times to Chicago and Minnesota. Before that, they were in good form with 2 wins and 1 draw. 
  • Vancouver wins 45% of their matches with home field advantage compared to 17% on the road.
  • They score an average of 1.27 goals and also conceded an average of 1.27 goals at home. They have 55% of their home matches with both teams scoring, slightly below the MLS average of 58% this season. 
  • For team goals, they have 82% of home games over 0.5 goals, 36% over 1.5 goals and just 9% over 2.5 goals. They have conceded over 0.5 goals in just 55% of their home matches, this must be close to an MLS low. They have conceded over 1.5 goals and 2.5 goals in 36% of their matches – Once they concede the second the third goal is always coming! 
  • Interestingly they overperform their xGoals of 1.14 and also overperform their xGoals against, which is 1.38. 

Houston Dynamo FC Road Form

  • On the road Houston has lost 4 of the last 5, winning just one – an average of 0.82 per game. They were so poor in the last match losing 6 to nothing against Philadelphia Union. Every match in the alt 5 has gone over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of the 5 matches. 
  • Away from home, their win rate is just 27%. They have an average goal per game of 3.18 on the road. This breaks down to 1.09 goal scores and 2.09 goals conceded. 
  • Like Vancouver, they average 55% of matches with both teams scoring. They have kept a clean sheet in just 9% of matches. 
  • Houston is underperforming on their xGoals. They should be averaging 1.27 for goals scored and 1.66 for goals conceded which means they are playing better than they were previously. 
  • For goals scored they go over 0.5 as a team in just 64% of matches, over 1.5 in 27% and over 2.5 in 18%. They are yet to score 3.5 goals as a team this season. 
  • In defence, they have conceded over 0.5 match goals in 91% of their matches and over .15 in 64%. Over 2.5 goals conceded have happened in 27% of their matches and over 3.5 in 9%. Their defence is weak. 

Head to Head Stats

Record

  • Vancouver Whitecaps = 8 wins
  • Draws = 5
  • Houston Dynamo = 7 wins

Goal stats

  • Over 1.5 goals 75%
  • Over 2.5 goals 65%
  • Over 3.5 goals 20%
  • BTTS YES – 64% 
  • VC clean sheets 30%
  • HD clean sheets 20%

Whitecaps v Dynamo Match Prediction

If you have read the stats above you can see that they all point towards a Vancouver win. The Whitecaps form is reasonable, especially with home-field advantage. On the road, Houston is a poor team and is coming off the back of a 6-0 loss. 

We are predicting a win for Vancouver Whitecaps. 

Match Predictions 

Correct Score Whitecaps 2-0 or 3-0

Our latest predictions